The optimal spinning reserve considering wind power prediction deviation

With the capacity of wind power into power system increasing year by year, the impact of wind power characteristics (random and intermittent) on the system stable equilibrium is outstanding. To configure spinning reserve properly, this paper establishes a relatively complete optimization model of spinning reserve for power system with wind integrated. Using the similar samples to train prediction model, the precision of prediction is improved. The equivalent load duration curve (ELDC) considering load fluctuations and unit outage, is revised by analyzing the probability density of wind power prediction deviation. And the last, this paper gives an example to verify the theory.