机构:
Univ Malaysia Terengganu, Sch Informat & Appl Math, Kuala Terengganu 21030, Terengganu, Malaysia
Univ Oslo, Ctr Math Applicat, POB 1053, N-0316 Oslo, NorwayUniv Malaysia Terengganu, Sch Informat & Appl Math, Kuala Terengganu 21030, Terengganu, Malaysia
Taib, Che Mohd Imran Che
[1
,2
]
机构:
[1] Univ Malaysia Terengganu, Sch Informat & Appl Math, Kuala Terengganu 21030, Terengganu, Malaysia
[2] Univ Oslo, Ctr Math Applicat, POB 1053, N-0316 Oslo, Norway
Freight market;
Forward price;
Levy processes;
Normal inverse Gaussian distribution;
Stochastic volatility;
Autoregressive moving average;
D O I:
10.1007/s13160-015-0204-6
中图分类号:
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号:
070104 ;
摘要:
In this paper, we derive the price of the forward freight contract using spot-forward relationship framework. We base our pricing on six different stochastic models which can capture many stylized facts of spot freight rates such as heavy-tailed logreturns, time-varying volatility and mean reversion. The models are analytically tractable which allows for pricing of forwards. We also examine the shape of forward curve for all continuous-time forward pricing formulas and find various shapes being the combination of fixed and stochastically dependent terms. Finally, this paper discusses the effect of different time to delivery and the maturity effect to the forward curve.
机构:
Dalian Maritime Univ, Transportat Management Coll, Dalian 116026, Peoples R ChinaDalian Maritime Univ, Transportat Management Coll, Dalian 116026, Peoples R China
Yu, Shunan
Yang, Zhongzhen
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h-index: 0
机构:
Ningbo Univ, Fac Maritime & Transportat, Ningbo 315211, Zhejiang, Peoples R ChinaDalian Maritime Univ, Transportat Management Coll, Dalian 116026, Peoples R China
Yang, Zhongzhen
Zhang, Wei
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机构:
Univ Tasmania, Australian Maritime Coll, Launceston, Tas 7250, AustraliaDalian Maritime Univ, Transportat Management Coll, Dalian 116026, Peoples R China
机构:
Hong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Ind Engn & Logist Management, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaHong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Ind Engn & Logist Management, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
Chen, Rongying
Dong, Jing-Xin
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机构:
Newcastle Univ, Sch Business, 5 Barrack Rd, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE1 4SE, Tyne & Wear, EnglandHong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Ind Engn & Logist Management, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
Dong, Jing-Xin
Lee, Chung-Yee
论文数: 0引用数: 0
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机构:
Hong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Ind Engn & Logist Management, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaHong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Ind Engn & Logist Management, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R China