Deep learning-based feature engineering for stock price movement prediction

被引:236
|
作者
Long, Wen [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Lu, Zhichen [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Cui, Lingxiao [1 ,2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
[2] Chinese Acad Sci, Res Ctr Fictitious Econ & Data Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
[3] Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Big Data Min & Knowledge Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Stock price prediction; Feature engineering; Deep learning; GRADIENT DESCENT; NEURAL-NETWORKS; SIGNATURE; PATH;
D O I
10.1016/j.knosys.2018.10.034
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
Stock price modeling and prediction have been challenging objectives for researchers and speculators because of noisy and non-stationary characteristics of samples. With the growth in deep learning, the task of feature learning can be performed more effectively by purposely designed network. in this paper, we propose a novel end-to-end model named multi-filters neural network (MFNN) specifically for feature extraction on financial time series samples and price movement prediction task. Both convolutional and recurrent neurons are integrated to build the multi-filters structure, so that the information from different feature spaces and market views can be obtained. We apply our MFNN for extreme market prediction and signal-based trading simulation tasks on Chinese stock market index CSI 300. Experimental results show that our network outperforms traditional machine learning models, statistical models, and single-structure(convolutional, recurrent, and LSTM) networks in terms of the accuracy, profitability, and stability. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:163 / 173
页数:11
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