Can artificial intelligence beat the stock market?

被引:0
|
作者
Song, Garrison Hongyu [1 ]
Jain, Ajeet [2 ]
机构
[1] Farmingdale State Coll, Dept Business Management, Farmingdale, NY 11735 USA
[2] Cent Connecticut State Univ, Dept Finance, New Britain, CT 06050 USA
关键词
Artificial intelligence (AI); Efficient market hypothesis; Hedge fund; AI-based investment strategy; FINANCE;
D O I
10.1108/SEF-03-2022-0133
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Purpose Academia and financial practitioners have mixed opinions about whether artificial intelligence (AI) can beat the stock market. The purpose of this paper is to investigate theoretically what would happen if AI has further evolved into a superior ability to predict the future more accurately than average investors. Design/methodology/approach A theoretical model in an endowment economy with two types of representative investors (traditional investors and AI investors) is proposed, and based on the model, a long-run survival analysis for both types of investors is implemented. Findings The model presented in this paper indicates that being equipped with a superior ability to predict the future more accurately than traditional investors cannot guarantee AI investors to always beat the stock market in the long run. Those investors may be extinct, all depending on the structure/parameters of the stock market. Originality/value To the best of the author's knowledge, they are the first to set up a representative agent equilibrium model to explore the above question seriously.
引用
收藏
页码:772 / 785
页数:14
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