Evaluation of Northern Hemisphere surface wind speed and wind power density in multiple reanalysis datasets

被引:57
|
作者
Miao, Haozeyu [1 ,3 ]
Dong, Danhong [3 ]
Huang, Gang [2 ,3 ,5 ]
Hu, Kaiming [3 ,4 ]
Tian, Qun [3 ,5 ]
Gong, Yuanfa [1 ]
机构
[1] Chengdu Univ Informat Technol, Coll Atmospher Sci, Chengdu 610225, Peoples R China
[2] Qingdao Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol, Lab Reg Oceanog & Numer Modeling, Qingdao 266237, Peoples R China
[3] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Numer Modeling Atmospher Sci & Geop, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
[4] Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Monsoon Syst Res, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
[5] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金; 国家重点研发计划;
关键词
Wind speed; Wind power density; Reanalysis datasets; Observations; Northern Hemisphere; ERA-INTERIM REANALYSIS; CLIMATE-CHANGE IMPACTS; ENERGY RESOURCE; TRENDS; EUROPE; CHINA; TEMPERATURES; VARIABILITY; CIRCULATION; PRODUCTS;
D O I
10.1016/j.energy.2020.117382
中图分类号
O414.1 [热力学];
学科分类号
摘要
Reanalysis products have become more and more popular for wind energy scientific community to analyze the wind speed variability and get long-term wind power estimations. The present study evaluates the biases of near-surface wind speed and wind power density in four of the most reputable reanalysis datasets, which include ERA-Interim, JRA-55, CFS and MERRA-2. The results indicate that the abilities of reanalysis products to reproduce the variabilities of wind speeds are different in different regions. JRA-55 and CFS offer the best estimates of annual and seasonal variabilities of surface wind speeds over the Northern Hemisphere. In detail, JRA-55 is the best to reproduce surface wind speeds in Asia, CFS has the best performance in Europe, and MERRA-2 just can reproduce the central part of North America. All the four datasets show decreasing tendencies in surface winds over the Northern Hemisphere during 1980-2016, although the trends are largely diverse among them. The most significant disagreements of wind speed trends are encountered between JRA-55 and MERRA-2, which are likely related to the different methodologies from the lowest model level that reanalyses use. The main drivers of wind speed trends are the changes of large-scale circulation, urbanization, and aerosol emissions. (C) 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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页数:19
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