MPF-Net: A computational multi-regional solar power forecasting framework

被引:11
|
作者
Mehmood, Faiza [1 ,2 ]
Ghani, Muhammad Usman [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Asim, Muhammad Nabeel [1 ,4 ]
Shahzadi, Rehab [1 ,2 ]
Mehmood, Aamir [5 ]
Mahmood, Waqar [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Engn & Technol, Al Khawarizmi Inst Comp Sci KICS, Lahore, Pakistan
[2] Univ Engn & Technol, Natl Ctr Artificial Intelligence NCAI, Lahore, Pakistan
[3] Univ Engn & Technol, Dept Comp Sci, Lahore, Pakistan
[4] German Res Ctr Artificial Intelligence DFKI, D-67663 Kaiserslautern, Germany
[5] Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Dept Ind & Syst Engn, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
来源
关键词
Solar forecasting; Computational methodologies; Machine learning; Feature selection; Expert knowledge induced features; Multi regional; NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION; RESOURCE ASSESSMENT; IRRADIANCE; RADIATION; ENERGY; OUTPUT; CLASSIFICATION; REDUCTION; SELECTION; MODELS;
D O I
10.1016/j.rser.2021.111559
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Short-term solar irradiance forecasting plays a pivotal role in the effective integration of significantly fluctuating solar power into power grids. Existing computational approaches lack to investigate which climate parameter/s influence the most in attaining the optimal forecasting performance. The paper in hand utilizes diverse feature selection approaches to find the optimal subset of features. Using selected subset of features, a rigorous experimentation is performed with 12 adopted machine learning and 10 newly developed deep learning based regressors for most reliable global horizontal irradiance measurements of 9 different regions of Pakistan using 4 evaluation measures. Further, to attain better predictive performance of solar irradiance, we reap the benefits of different individual regressors and present a robust multi regional meta-regressor. Among machine and deep learning based regressors, proposed meta-regressor along with optimal subset of feature/s achieves the best R-2 score of 98% for 6 regions and 97% for other 3 regions of Pakistan. MPF-Net as web service is accessible here.
引用
收藏
页数:15
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