This paper examines how the interplay between cyclical net entry and exit of firms and search and matching frictions affect business cycle dynamics. We show cyclical net entry and exit reallocates inputs across firms and destroys jobs in recessions, which amplifies and skews business cycle dynamics. The model matches the volatility and skewness of real activity, the fast rise and slow decline in unemployment that occurs in recessions, and the counter-cyclical variation in macroeconomic uncertainty. Cyclical net entry and exit generates a 20% increase in volatility, 40% increase in skewness, and 55% increase in the welfare cost of business cycles. (c) 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机构:
Banco Mexico, Direcc Gen Invest Econ, Col Ctr, Mexico City 06059, DF, MexicoBanco Mexico, Direcc Gen Invest Econ, Col Ctr, Mexico City 06059, DF, Mexico
Capistran, Carlos
Timmermann, Allan
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机构:
Univ Calif San Diego, Dept Econ, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
Univ Calif San Diego, Rady Sch Management, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
Univ Aarhus, CREATES, DK-8000 Aarhus C, DenmarkBanco Mexico, Direcc Gen Invest Econ, Col Ctr, Mexico City 06059, DF, Mexico