OPIUM FOR THE MASSES? CONFLICT-INDUCED NARCOTICS PRODUCTION IN AFGHANISTAN

被引：14

作者：

Lind, Jo Thori ^{[1
]}

Moene, Karl Ove ^{[1
]}

Willumsen, Fredrik ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Oslo, N-0316 Oslo, Norway

来源：

REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS | 2014年 / 96卷 / 05期

关键词：

CIVIL CONFLICT; NATURAL-RESOURCES; WARS; CURSE; DETERMINANTS; INSURGENCY; GRIEVANCE; MODELS; SHOCKS; INCOME;

D O I：

10.1162/REST_a_00418

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

To explain the rise in Afghan opium production, we explore how rising conflicts change the incentives of farmers. Conflicts make illegal opportunities more profitable as they increase the perceived lawlessness and destroy infrastructure crucial to alternative crops. Exploiting a unique data set, we show that Western hostile casualties, our proxy for conflict, have a strong impact on subsequent local opium production. Using the period after the planting season as a placebo test, we show that conflict has a strong effect before but no effect after planting, indicating causality.

引用

页码：949 / 966

页数：18

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