In our political-agency setting, voters are uninformed about two traits of an incumbent politi-cian: ability and bias. Voters observe the implemented policy and learn the state immediately before the election. We show that when the bias of biased politicians is strong such that voters prefer neutral politicians even if they have low ability, high-ability and biased politicians may secure re-election by appearing ignorant. Furthermore, we introduce a news shock that may reveal the state earlier, when a policy change is still possible. Raising the likelihood of a shock may decrease voter welfare if bias is very strong.
机构:
Univ Auckland, Maori Studies & Anthropol, Auckland, New Zealand
US Natl Acad Sci, Washington, DC 20418 USA
British Acad, London, England
Amer Philosoph Soc, Philadelphia, PA 19106 USAUniv Auckland, Maori Studies & Anthropol, Auckland, New Zealand