Human influence on the atmospheric vertical temperature structure: Detection and observations

被引：168
|
作者：
Tett, SFB [1 ]
Mitchell, JFB [1 ]
Parker, DE [1 ]
Allen, MR [1 ]
机构：
[1] RUTHERFORD APPLETON LAB,DEPT SPACE SCI,DIDCOT OX11 0QX,OXON,ENGLAND
来源：
SCIENCE | 1996年 / 274卷 / 5290期
关键词：
D O I：
10.1126/science.274.5290.1170
中图分类号：
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号：
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要：
Recent work suggests a discernible human influence on climate. This finding is supported, with less restrictive assumptions than those used in earlier studies, by a 1961 through 1995 data set of radiosonde observations and by ensembles of coupled atmosphere-ocean simulations forced with changes in greenhouse gases, tropospheric sulfate aerosols, and stratospheric ozone. On balance, agreement between the simulations and observations is best for a combination of greenhouse gas, aerosol, and ozone forcing. The uncertainties remaining are due to imperfect knowledge of radiative forcing, natural climate variability, and errors in observations and model response.
引用
收藏
页码：1170 / 1173
页数：4
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