Human influence on the atmospheric vertical temperature structure: Detection and observations

被引：168
|
作者：
Tett, SFB [1 ]
Mitchell, JFB [1 ]
Parker, DE [1 ]
Allen, MR [1 ]
机构：
[1] RUTHERFORD APPLETON LAB,DEPT SPACE SCI,DIDCOT OX11 0QX,OXON,ENGLAND
来源：
SCIENCE | 1996年 / 274卷 / 5290期
关键词：
D O I：
10.1126/science.274.5290.1170
中图分类号：
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号：
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要：
Recent work suggests a discernible human influence on climate. This finding is supported, with less restrictive assumptions than those used in earlier studies, by a 1961 through 1995 data set of radiosonde observations and by ensembles of coupled atmosphere-ocean simulations forced with changes in greenhouse gases, tropospheric sulfate aerosols, and stratospheric ozone. On balance, agreement between the simulations and observations is best for a combination of greenhouse gas, aerosol, and ozone forcing. The uncertainties remaining are due to imperfect knowledge of radiative forcing, natural climate variability, and errors in observations and model response.
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页码：1170 / 1173
页数：4
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