Statistical inference on the drift parameter in fractional Brownian motion with a deterministic drift
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作者:
Stiburek, David
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机构:
Charles Univ Prague, Dept Probabil & Math Stat, Fac Math & Phys, Prague, Czech RepublicCharles Univ Prague, Dept Probabil & Math Stat, Fac Math & Phys, Prague, Czech Republic
Stiburek, David
[1
]
机构:
[1] Charles Univ Prague, Dept Probabil & Math Stat, Fac Math & Phys, Prague, Czech Republic
Fractional Brownian motion;
inverse methods;
stochastic integral;
symmetric random part;
D O I:
10.1080/03610926.2015.1006784
中图分类号:
O21 [概率论与数理统计];
C8 [统计学];
学科分类号:
020208 ;
070103 ;
0714 ;
摘要:
In statistical inference on the drift parameter a in the fractional Brownian motion W-t(H) with the Hurst parameter H (0, 1) with a constant drift Y-t(H) = at + W-t(H), there is a large number of options how to do it. We may, for example, base this inference on the properties of the standard normal distribution applied to the differences between the observed values of the process at discrete times. Although such methods are very simple, it turns out that more appropriate is to use inverse methods. Such methods can be generalized to non constant drift. For the hypotheses testing about the drift parameter a, it is more proper to standardize the observed process, and to use inverse methods based on the first exit time of the observed process of a pre-specified interval until some given time. These procedures are illustrated, and their times of decision are compared against the direct approach. Other generalizations are possible when the random part is a symmetric stochastic integral of a known, deterministic function with respect to fractional Brownian motion.
机构:
Vilnius Univ, Inst Math & Informat, Akad 4, LT-08663 Vilnius, LithuaniaVilnius Univ, Inst Math & Informat, Akad 4, LT-08663 Vilnius, Lithuania
Kubilius, K.
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机构:
Skorniakov, V.
Melichov, D.
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机构:
Vilnius Gediminas Tech Univ, Fac Fundamental Sci, Sauletekio Al 11, LT-10223 Vilnius, LithuaniaVilnius Univ, Inst Math & Informat, Akad 4, LT-08663 Vilnius, Lithuania
机构:
ESPCI Paris, UMR CNRS Gulliver 7083, 10 Rue Vauquelin, F-75005 Paris, FranceESPCI Paris, UMR CNRS Gulliver 7083, 10 Rue Vauquelin, F-75005 Paris, France
Arutkin, Maxence
Walter, Benjamin
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机构:
Imperial Coll London, Dept Math, London SW7 2AZ, EnglandESPCI Paris, UMR CNRS Gulliver 7083, 10 Rue Vauquelin, F-75005 Paris, France
Walter, Benjamin
Wiese, Kay Jorg
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机构:
Univ Paris Diderot, Sorbonne Paris Cite, Sorbonne Univ, Lab Phys,Ecole Normale Super,Univ PSL,CNRS, 24 Rue Lhomond, F-75005 Paris, FranceESPCI Paris, UMR CNRS Gulliver 7083, 10 Rue Vauquelin, F-75005 Paris, France
机构:
NYU, Stern Sch Business, Dept Technol Operat & Stat, New York, NY 10012 USANYU, Stern Sch Business, Dept Technol Operat & Stat, New York, NY 10012 USA
Lakner, Peter
Liu, Ziran
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机构:
NYU, Stern Sch Business, Dept Technol Operat & Stat, New York, NY 10012 USANYU, Stern Sch Business, Dept Technol Operat & Stat, New York, NY 10012 USA
Liu, Ziran
Reed, Josh
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机构:
NYU, Stern Sch Business, Dept Technol Operat & Stat, New York, NY 10012 USANYU, Stern Sch Business, Dept Technol Operat & Stat, New York, NY 10012 USA