Simulation of the asymptotic constant in some fluid models

被引:28
|
作者
Debicki, K
Michna, Z
Rolski, T
机构
[1] Univ Wroclaw, Inst Math, PL-50384 Wroclaw, Poland
[2] Wroclaw Univ Econ, Dept Math, Wroclaw, Poland
关键词
asymptotic constant; simulation; change of measure; Gauss-Markov process; importance sampling; generalized Pickands constant; Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process;
D O I
10.1081/STM-120023567
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Let Z(t) be a stationary centered Gaussian process with a Markovian structure. In some fluid models, the stationary buffer content V can be expressed as sup(tgreater than or equal to0)(integral(0)(t)Z(s) ds - ct) and P(V > u) = Ce (-gammau)(1 + o(l)). The asymptotic constant C can be expressed by the so called generalized Pickands constants H. in most cases no formula or approximation for C are known. In this paper we show a method of simulation of C by the use of change of measure technique. The method is applicable when Z(t) is a stationary Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process or Z(t) = Sigma(j=1)(n)X(j)(t), where (X-1(t),..., X-n(t)) is a Gauss-Markov process. Two examples of simulations are included. Moreover we give a formula for a lower bound for generalized Pickands constants.
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页码:407 / 423
页数:17
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