Nonparametric estimation of the volatility function in a high-frequency model corrupted by noise

被引:8
|
作者
Munk, Axel [1 ]
Schmidt-Hieber, Johannes [1 ]
机构
[1] Inst Math Stochastik, D-37077 Gottingen, Germany
来源
关键词
Brownian motion; variance estimation; minimax rate; microstructure noise; Sobolev embedding; MICROSTRUCTURE NOISE; SELECTION; REGULARIZATION; CONVERGENCE; PARAMETER; RATES;
D O I
10.1214/10-EJS568
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
We consider the models Y-i,Y-n = integral(i/n)(0) sigma(s)dW(s) + tau(i/n)epsilon(i,n), and (Y) over tilde (i,n) = sigma(i/n)W-i/n + tau(i/n)epsilon(i,n), i = 1,..., n, where (W-t)(t is an element of[0,1]) denotes a standard Brownian motion and epsilon(i,n) are centered i.i.d. random variables with E(epsilon(2)(i,n)) = 1 and finite fourth moment. Furthermore, sigma and tau are unknown deterministic functions and (W-t)(t is an element of[0,1]) and (epsilon(1),(n),..., epsilon(n,n)) are assumed to be independent processes. Based on a spectral decomposition of the covariance structures we derive series estimators for sigma(2) and tau(2) and investigate their rate of convergence of the MISE in dependence of their smoothness. To this end specific basis functions and their corresponding Sobolev ellipsoids are introduced and we show that our estimators are optimal in minimax sense. Our work is motivated by microstructure noise models. A major finding is that the microstructure noise epsilon(i,n) introduces an additionally degree of ill-posedness of 1/2; irrespectively of the tail behavior of epsilon(i,n). The performance of the estimates is illustrated by a small numerical study.
引用
收藏
页码:781 / 821
页数:41
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] NONPARAMETRIC-ESTIMATION OF STRUCTURAL MODELS FOR HIGH-FREQUENCY CURRENCY MARKET DATA
    BANSAL, R
    GALLANT, AR
    HUSSEY, R
    TAUCHEN, G
    JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 1995, 66 (1-2) : 251 - 287
  • [42] Estimation of the integrated volatility using noisy high-frequency data with jumps and endogeneity
    Li, Cuixia
    Guo, Erlin
    COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-THEORY AND METHODS, 2018, 47 (03) : 521 - 531
  • [43] Efficient Portfolio Allocation with Sparse Volatility Estimation for High-Frequency Financial Data
    Zou, Jian
    Huang, Chuqin
    2016 IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON BIG DATA (BIG DATA), 2016, : 2341 - 2350
  • [44] Intraday periodicity adjustments of transaction duration and their effects on high-frequency volatility estimation
    Tse, Yiu-Kuen
    Dong, Yingjie
    JOURNAL OF EMPIRICAL FINANCE, 2014, 28 : 352 - 361
  • [45] Analysis of Wind Farm Output: Estimation of Volatility Using High-Frequency Data
    Manju R. Agrawal
    John Boland
    Barbara Ridley
    Environmental Modeling & Assessment, 2013, 18 : 481 - 492
  • [46] Vast Volatility Matrix Estimation Using High-Frequency Data for Portfolio Selection
    Fan, Jianqing
    Li, Yingying
    Yu, Ke
    JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION, 2012, 107 (497) : 412 - 428
  • [47] Analysis of Wind Farm Output: Estimation of Volatility Using High-Frequency Data
    Agrawal, Manju R.
    Boland, John
    Ridley, Barbara
    ENVIRONMENTAL MODELING & ASSESSMENT, 2013, 18 (04) : 481 - 492
  • [48] A unified model for high-frequency current noise of MOSFETs
    Teng, HF
    Jang, SL
    Juang, MH
    SOLID-STATE ELECTRONICS, 2003, 47 (11) : 2043 - 2048
  • [49] Improvized implied volatility function and nonparametric approach to unbiased estimation
    Sattar, Muhammad Atif
    Hailiang, Zhang
    Kanwal, Samra
    Gardi, Bayar
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ENGINEERING, 2023, 10 (01)
  • [50] Forecasting the high-frequency volatility based on the LSTM-HIT model
    Liu, Guangying
    Zhuang, Ziyan
    Wang, Min
    JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 2024, 43 (05) : 1356 - 1373