Experience with Active Surveillance of Thyroid Low-Risk Carcinoma in a Developing Country

Background: The incidence of thyroid carcinoma is growing worldwide. More than 50% of new malignant tumors are classified as classical papillary carcinomas in low-risk category with a low rate of recurrence and high long-term survival. Active surveillance is a strategy to control low-risk tumor evolution with the intention to avoid unnecessary treatments and maintain thyroid function. The aim of this study was to report a cohort of patients with thyroid nodules classified as Bethesda V-VI and who are under active surveillance in Colombia. Methods: A prospective cohort was assembled since January 2015. All patients had been evaluated clinically, biochemically with ultrasonography and fine needle aspiration biopsy previous to the first evaluation. Active surveillance was proposed to patients with asymptomatic low-risk carcinoma (<1.5 cm, encapsulated, without evidence of lymph node metastasis), independent of sex or age. The strategy included a specific discussion about the surgical option and expected risk of complications, risk of long-term thyroxine support, and the active surveillance strategy. The data on age, sex, reason for an ultrasound examination, ultrasound risk by American Thyroid Association (ATA) classification, size and volume of the nodule, reason to consider active surveillance and follow-up ultrasounds, and surgical decision were recorded prospectively. A Kaplan-Meier curve was constructed for the rate of growth and increase in volume of the nodule, growth >3 mm and increase in volume >50%, and need of operation. Results: One hundred two patients were analyzed. Seventy-five percent of patients had a nodule smaller than 1 cm. Only 24/102 (23%) nodules were classified as ATA low risk. Thirty-four of 102 (33.3%) nodules were classified as Bethesda VI and the others were Bethesda V. The median follow-up was 13.9 months, and 32.3% of patients had more than 24 months of follow-up. Only 11/102 (10.8%) nodules grew more than 3 mm and 26/102 (25.5%) nodules grew more than 50% in volume. 12.7% patients were submitted to surgery. The overall stability rate without growth >3 mm, without volume increase >50%, and without surgery at 24 months were 89.8%, 77.0%, and 85.5%, respectively Conclusions: Active surveillance is possible in developing Western countries with similar results to those provided by Asian and American authors.