Volatility estimation for cryptocurrencies: Further evidence with jumps and structural breaks

被引:0
|
作者
Charles, Amelie [1 ]
Darne, Olivier [2 ]
机构
[1] Audencia Business Sch, Nantes, France
[2] Univ Nantes, LEMNA, Nantes, France
来源
ECONOMICS BULLETIN | 2019年 / 39卷 / 02期
关键词
GARCH; OUTLIERS; BITCOIN; PERSISTENCE;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
In this paper we study the daily volatility of four cryptocurrencies (BitCoin, Dash, LiteCoin, and Ripple) from June 2014 to November 2018. We first show that the cryptocurrency returns are strongly characterized by the presence of jumps as well as structural breaks (except Dash). Then, we estimate four GARCH-type models that capture short memory (GARCH), asymmetry (APARCH), strong persistence (IGARCH), and long memory (FIGARCH) from (i) original returns, (ii) jump-filtered returns, and (iii) jump-filtered returns with structural breaks. Results indicate the importance to take into account the jumps and structural breaks in modelling volatility of the cryptocurrencies. It appears that the cryptocurrency returns are well modelled by infinite persistence (BitCoin, Dash, and LiteCoin) or long memory (Ripple) with a Student-t distribution.
引用
收藏
页码:954 / +
页数:16
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] EFFICIENT ESTIMATION OF INTEGRATED VOLATILITY IN PRESENCE OF INFINITE VARIATION JUMPS
    Jacod, Jean
    Todorov, Viktor
    ANNALS OF STATISTICS, 2014, 42 (03): : 1029 - 1069
  • [42] Forecasting ethanol price volatility under structural breaks
    Bouri, Elie
    Dutta, Anupam
    Saeed, Tareq
    BIOFUELS BIOPRODUCTS & BIOREFINING-BIOFPR, 2021, 15 (01): : 250 - 256
  • [43] Greek sovereign bond index, volatility, and structural breaks
    Tamakoshi G.
    Hamori S.
    Journal of Economics and Finance, 2014, 38 (4) : 687 - 697
  • [44] Volatility persistence in cryptocurrency markets under structural breaks
    Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins
    Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko
    Madigu, Godfrey
    Romero-Rojo, Fatima
    INTERNATIONAL REVIEW OF ECONOMICS & FINANCE, 2020, 69 : 680 - 691
  • [45] A REMARK ON THE RATES OF CONVERGENCE FOR INTEGRATED VOLATILITY ESTIMATION IN THE PRESENCE OF JUMPS
    Jacod, Jean
    Reiss, Markus
    ANNALS OF STATISTICS, 2014, 42 (03): : 1131 - 1144
  • [46] Sequential Learning of Cryptocurrency Volatility Dynamics: Evidence Based on a Stochastic Volatility Model with Jumps in Returns and Volatility
    Huang, Jing-Zhi
    Huang, Zhijian James
    Xu, Li
    QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 2021, 11 (02)
  • [47] Using implied volatility jumps for realized volatility forecasting: Evidence from the Chinese market
    Ye, Wuyi
    Xia, Wenjing
    Wu, Bin
    Chen, Pengzhan
    INTERNATIONAL REVIEW OF FINANCIAL ANALYSIS, 2022, 83
  • [48] Jumps and stochastic volatility in oil prices: Time series evidence
    Larsson, Karl
    Nossman, Marcus
    ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2011, 33 (03) : 504 - 514
  • [49] Empirical evidence on the importance of aggregation, asymmetry, and jumps for volatility prediction
    Duong, Diep
    Swanson, Norman R.
    JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2015, 187 (02) : 606 - 621
  • [50] The risks of trading on cryptocurrencies: A regime-switching approach based on volatility jumps and co-jumping behaviours
    Li, Leon
    APPLIED ECONOMICS, 2024, 56 (07) : 779 - 795