Forecasting the evolution of the sea ice in the Liaodong Bay using meteorological data

被引：17
|
作者：
Zhang, Na [1 ,2 ]
Wu, Yongsheng [3 ]
Zhang, Qinghe [2 ]
机构：
[1] Tianjin Chengjian Univ, Tianjin Key Lab Soft Soil Characterist & Engn Env, Tianjin 300384, Peoples R China
[2] Tianjin Univ, State Key Lab Hydraul Engn Simulat & Safety, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China
[3] Fisheries & Oceans Canada, Bedford Inst Oceanog, Ocean & Ecosyst Sci Div, Marine Ecosyst Sect, Dartmouth, NS B2Y 4A2, Canada
来源：
COLD REGIONS SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY | 2016年 / 125卷
基金：
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词：
Sea ice area; Sea ice extent; Empirical model; Logit model; MODIS; BOHAI SEA; REGRESSION-MODELS; MODIS; SEDIMENT; DESALINATION; THICKNESS; WINTER;
D O I：
10.1016/j.coldregions.2016.01.007
中图分类号：
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号：
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要：
In the present study, a novel empirical model has been developed with an aim to predict the sea ice area and its spatial distribution in the Liaodong Bay based on observed meteorological data of air temperature and wind speeds. The model indicates that the sea ice including the area and spatial distribution in the Liaodong Bay is strongly sensitive to the cumulative freezing degree days (CFDD), seaward winds and air temperature. The estimated sea ice area and spatial distribution are compared to the remotely-sensed data and the comparisons suggest that the model is able to account for 87% variability of the sea ice area. The sensitivity of the model results to the air temperature and wind speed is investigated as well. (c) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码：21 / 30
页数：10
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