Estimation of the future remnant liver function is a better tool to predict post-hepatectomy liver failure than platelet-based liver scores

Introduction: Recently, there has been increasing interest in the preoperative prediction and prevention of post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF). This is a particular concern in colorectal liver metastases (CRLM), when surgery follows potentially hepatotoxic chemotherapy. Platelet-based liver scores (PBLS) such as APRI and FIB-4 are predictive of chemotherapy-associated liver injury (CALI) and PHLF. Estimation of the future liver remnant function (eFLRF) by combining Tc-99m-Mebrofenin Hepatobiliary Scintigraphy (HBSBSA) with future liver remnant volume ratio (FLRV%), is predictive of PHLF and related mortality. We hypothesized that a HBSBSA based formula was a better predictor for PHLF than PBLS in chemotherapy-pretreated CRLM. Methods: Between 2012 and 2016, 140 patients underwent liver resection for CRLM following systemic therapy. HBSBSA, FLRV%, eFLRF and PBLS were calculated and compared for their value in predicting PHLF. Results: eFLRF and FLRV% had a better predictive value for PHLF than HBSBSA alone and APRI and FIB-4 (AUC = 0.800, 0.843 versus 0.652, 0.635 and 0.658 respectively). In a subgroup analysis (Oxaliplatin all, Oxaliplatin >= 6 cycles, Irinotecan all and Irinotecan = 6 cycles), eFLRF was the only factor predictive for PHLF in all subgroups (all: p <= 0.05). Prediction of HBSBSA for chemotherapy associated steato-hepatitis (CASH) reached almost significance (p = 0.06). FIB-4 was predictive for sinusoidal obstruction syndrome (SOS) (p = 0.011). Only weak correlation was found between HBSBSA and PBLS. Conclusion: eFLRF is a better predictor of PHLF than PBLS or HBSBSA alone. PBLS seem to measure other aspects of liver function or damage than HBSBSA. (c) 2017 Elsevier Ltd, BASO similar to The Association for Cancer Surgery, and the European Society of Surgical Oncology. All rights reserved.