Identification of patients with Graves' disease who benefit from high-dose radioactive iodine therapy

Objective Radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy is a useful treatment for Graves' disease (GD). Most RAI sessions administer <= 500 MBq of iodine (I)-131. Sometimes patients require repeated RAI, often for longer periods of remission. We investigated the characteristics of patients for whom high dose (mostly 1110 MBq of I-131) RAI was effective as RAI therapy for GD. Methods We retrospectively analyzed the cases of 79 patients who underwent RAI for GD in a multicenter setting. We divided the patients into two groups based on the I-131 dose administered: the low dose (LD) group who received <= 500 MBq (n = 44) and the high dose (HD) group who received > 500 MBq (n = 35). The therapeutic effect was defined as achieving remission and reaching the point of participating in thyroid hormone replacement therapy within 1 year after RAI. We compared the LD and HD groups' remission rates and conducted a multivariate logistic regression analysis of predictive factors for remission. In a simulation, using the formula for predicting the probability of remission obtained from the analysis results, we estimated how much the remission rate would change if the I-131 dose is increased from 500 to 1110 MBq. Results The mean +/- standard deviation I-131 dose administered in the LD group was 480 +/- 6 MBq, and that of the HD group was 1054 +/- 265 MBq. Thirty-five patients (80%) in the LD group and 26 patients (74%) in the HD group achieved remission; this difference in the remission rate was not significant. The multivariate analysis results demonstrated that the absorbed dose and thyroid-stimulating antibody (TSAb) were independent predictors of remission. Seven patients (8.9%) showed an increased probability of remission from < 50% to > 50% when the higher RAI dose was applied (1110 MBq instead of 500 MBq). The thyroid volume and TSAb values in these patients were relatively large at 54.7 +/- 34.2 mL and 1378.4 +/- 586.3%, respectively. Conclusion Although the overall remission rate was not significantly different between the patients who received high- or low-dose I-131, treatment with high-dose RAI may improve the probability of remission in patients with a massive thyroid volume and/or high-TSAb Graves' disease.