During their first year of life sheep acquire parasites through grazing, and simultaneously build up an immunity to infection. Al the beginning of each year non-immune lambs are introduced onto contaminated pasture. We represent this process by differential equations describing the within-year dynamics, and defining a difference equation that describes the between-year dynamics. An example with two system parameters is analysed in detail. It is shown that regions exist in parameter space where periodic (between-year) or aperiodic solutions occur. Parasite control schemes could change the system dynamics from a stable equilibrium to complicated long-term fluctuations.
机构:
Harvard Univ, Minda Gunzburg Ctr European Studies, Cambridge, MA 02138 USAHarvard Univ, Minda Gunzburg Ctr European Studies, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA