A comprehensive approach to scenario-based risk management for Arctic waters

被引：9

作者：

Bergstrom, Martin ^{[1
]}

Browne, Thomas ^{[2
,3
]}

Ehlers, Soren ^{[4
]}

Helle, Inari ^{[5
]}

Herrnring, Hauke ^{[4
]}

Khan, Faisal ^{[2
]}

Kubiczek, Jan ^{[4
]}

Kujala, Pentti ^{[1
]}

Korgesaar, Mihkel ^{[6
]}

Leira, Bernt Johan ^{[7
]}

Parviainen, Tuuli ^{[5
]}

Polojarvi, Arttu ^{[1
]}

Suominen, Mikko ^{[1
]}

Taylor, Rocky ^{[2
]}

Tuhkuri, Jukka ^{[1
]}

Vanhatalo, Jarno ^{[5
,8
]}

Veitch, Brian ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Aalto Univ, Dept Mech Engn, FI-00076 Espoo, Finland

[2] Mem Univ Newfoundland, Fac Engn & Appl Sci, St John, NL, Canada

[3] Natl Res Council Canada, Ocean Coastal & River Engn Res Ctr, St John, NL, Canada

[4] Hamburg Univ Technol, Inst Ship Struct Design & Anal, Hamburg, Germany

[5] Univ Helsinki, Fac Biol & Environm Sci, Helsinki, Finland

[6] Tallinn Univ Technol, Kuressaare Coll, Sch Engn, Kuressaare, Estonia

[7] Norwegian Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Marine Technol, Trondheim, Norway

[8] Univ Helsinki, Fac Sci, Helsinki, Finland

来源：

SHIP TECHNOLOGY RESEARCH | 2022年 / 69卷 / 03期

关键词：

Shipping; ship; Arctic; Polar Code; maritime safety; risk management; environmental protection; ice; IMPACT SHIPPING CORRIDORS; GLACIAL ICE IMPACTS; OIL-SPILLS; NUMERICAL-MODEL; CLIMATE-CHANGE; LOAD; VULNERABILITY; SIMULATION; THICKNESS; DESIGN;

D O I：

10.1080/09377255.2022.2049967

中图分类号：

U6 [水路运输]; P75 [海洋工程];

学科分类号：

0814 ; 081505 ; 0824 ; 082401 ;

摘要：

While society benefits from Arctic shipping, it is necessary to recognize that ship operations in Arctic waters pose significant risks to people, the environment, and property. To support the management of those risks, this article presents a comprehensive approach addressing both short-term operational risks, as well as risks related to long-term extreme ice loads. For the management of short-term operational risks, an extended version of the Polar Operational Limit Assessment Risk Indexing System (POLARIS) considering the magnitude of the consequences of potential adverse events is proposed. For the management of risks related to long-term extreme ice loads, guidelines are provided for using existing analytical, numerical, and semi-empirical methods. In addition, to support the design of ice class ship structures, the article proposes a novel approach that can be used in the conceptual design phase for the determination of preliminary scantlings for primary hull structural members.

引用

页码：129 / 157

页数：29

共 50 条

[21] Stochastic Constraint Programming: A Scenario-Based Approach
S. Armagan Tarim
Suresh Manandhar
Toby Walsh
Constraints, 2006, 11 : 53 - 80
[22] Scenario-based IT Risk Assessment in Local Government
Mcube, Unathi
Gerber, Mariana
Von Solms, Rossouw
2016 IST-AFRICA WEEK CONFERENCE, 2016,
[23] Scenario-based connector optimization -: An XML approach
Löwe, W
Noga, M
COMPONENT DEPLOYMENT, 2002, 2370 : 170 - 184
[24] Scenario-based approach to office occupancy analysis
Khamkanya, Thadsin
Heaney, George
McGreal, Stanley
PROPERTY MANAGEMENT, 2012, 30 (04) : 333 - +
[25] Scenario-Based Evolutionary Approach for Robust RCPSP
Mogaadi, Hayet
Chaar, Besma Fayech
PROCEEDINGS OF THE SECOND INTERNATIONAL AFRO-EUROPEAN CONFERENCE FOR INDUSTRIAL ADVANCEMENT (AECIA 2015), 2016, 427 : 45 - 55
[26] A Scenario-Based Approach for Robust Linear Optimization
Goerigk, Marc
Schoebel, Anita
THEORY AND PRACTICE OF ALGORITHMS IN COMPUTER SYSTEMS, 2011, 6595 : 139 - 150
[27] A scenario-based procedure for seismic risk analysis
Kluegel, J.-U.
Mualchin, L.
Panza, G. F.
ENGINEERING GEOLOGY, 2006, 88 (1-2) : 1 - 22
[28] Scenario-based simulation approach for layout planning
Dombrowski, U.
Ernst, S.
EIGHTH CIRP CONFERENCE ON INTELLIGENT COMPUTATION IN MANUFACTURING ENGINEERING, 2013, 12 : 354 - 359
[29] A scenario-based approach to the evolution of telecommunications software
Mansurov, NN
Probert, RL
IEEE COMMUNICATIONS MAGAZINE, 2001, 39 (10) : 94 - 100
[30] Beyond a hazard-centric approach to disaster risk assessment: a Tasmanian scenario-based approach
Hocking, Lynley
Owen, Christine
AUSTRALIAN JOURNAL OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT, 2023, 38 (01): : 30 - 35

← 1 2 3 4 5 →