[1] Univ Nottingham, Div Epidemiol & Publ Hlth, Nottingham, England
[2] Nottingham Univ Hosp NHS Trust, Dept Rheumatol, Nottingham, England
[3] Univ Oxford, Nuffield Dept Orthopaed Rheumatol & Musculoskelet, Oxford, England
[4] Univ Penn, Div Rheumatol, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA
[5] Univ Penn, Dept Biostat & Epidemiol, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA
[6] Univ East Anglia, Norwich Med Sch, Norwich, Norfolk, England
[7] Ipswich Hosp NHS Trust, Dept Rheumatol, Ipswich, Suffolk, England