Optimal jury design for homogeneous juries with correlated votes

被引:19
|
作者
Kaniovski, Serguei [1 ]
Zaigraev, Alexander [2 ]
机构
[1] Austrian Inst Econ Res WIFO, A-1103 Vienna, Austria
[2] Nicholas Copernicus Univ, Fac Math & Comp Sci, PL-87100 Torun, Poland
关键词
Dichotomous choice; Condorcet's Jury Theorem; Correlated votes; INFORMATION AGGREGATION; VOTING RULES; THEOREM;
D O I
10.1007/s11238-009-9170-2
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
In a homogeneous jury, in which each vote is correct with the same probability, and each pair of votes correlates with the same correlation coefficient, there exists a correlation-robust voting quota, such that the probability of a correct verdict is independent of the correlation coefficient. For positive correlation, an increase in the correlation coefficient decreases the probability of a correct verdict for any voting rule below the correlation-robust quota, and increases that probability for any above the correlation-robust quota. The jury may be less competent under the correlation-robust rule than under simple majority rule and less competent under simple majority rule than a single juror alone. The jury is always less competent than a single juror under unanimity rule.
引用
收藏
页码:439 / 459
页数:21
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