Does intraday time-series momentum exist in Chinese stock index futures market?

被引:13
|
作者
Li, Yi [1 ]
Shen, Dehua [1 ,2 ]
Wang, Pengfei [1 ]
Zhang, Wei [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Tianjin Univ, Coll Management & Econ, 92 Weijin Rd, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China
[2] Tianjin Univ, China Ctr Social Comp & Analyt, Tianjin, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Intraday momentum; Chinese stock index futures; Predictability; High frequency trading;
D O I
10.1016/j.frl.2019.09.007
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
In this paper, we investigate the intraday momentum in the Chinese stock index futures market. By conducting both in-sample and out-of-sample tests, we find that the first trading-session return can significantly predict the last trading-session return, especially when defining the trading session at the 60 min level. The intraday momentum is stronger on days with high volume, volatility, and investor attention. And the intraday momentum strategies yield substantial returns per year and utility gains for investors. Our results are robust to alternative index futures, alternative sample period and the sign of first trading-session return.
引用
收藏
页数:11
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] The Fed and the Stock Market: An Identification Based on Intraday Futures Data
    D'Amico, Stefania
    Farka, Mira
    JOURNAL OF BUSINESS & ECONOMIC STATISTICS, 2011, 29 (01) : 126 - 137
  • [32] Time Series Forecasting of Stock Market Index
    Agarwal, Udit
    Sabitha, A. Sai
    2016 1ST INDIA INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INFORMATION PROCESSING (IICIP), 2016,
  • [33] DOES INDEX FUTURES TRADING REDUCE VOLATILITY IN THE CHINESE STOCK MARKET? A PANEL DATA EVALUATION APPROACH
    Chen, Haiqiang
    Han, Qian
    Li, Yingxing
    Wu, Kai
    JOURNAL OF FUTURES MARKETS, 2013, 33 (12) : 1167 - 1190
  • [34] Time-series momentum in nearly 100 years of stock returns
    Lim, Bryan Y.
    Wang, Jiaguo
    Yao, Yaqiong
    JOURNAL OF BANKING & FINANCE, 2018, 97 : 283 - 296
  • [35] Time-series forecasting with a novel fuzzy time-series approach: an example for Istanbul stock market
    Yolcu, Ufuk
    Aladag, Cagdas Hakan
    Egrioglu, Erol
    Uslu, Vedide R.
    JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL COMPUTATION AND SIMULATION, 2013, 83 (04) : 597 - 610
  • [36] Study on Effects of CSI 300 Stock Index Futures on Chinese Stock Market Volatility
    Hu, Yiwen
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2016 INTERNATIONAL FORUM ON MANAGEMENT, EDUCATION AND INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY APPLICATION, 2016, 47 : 344 - 350
  • [37] Multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis of the Chinese stock index futures market
    Lu, Xinsheng
    Tian, Jie
    Zhou, Ying
    Li, Zhihui
    PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 2013, 392 (06) : 1452 - 1458
  • [38] The heterogeneous impact of liquidity on volatility in Chinese stock index futures market
    Xu, Yanyan
    Huang, Dengshi
    Ma, Feng
    Qiao, Gaoxiu
    PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 2019, 517 : 73 - 85
  • [39] Stock index futures in India - Does the market justify its use?
    Bhaumik, SK
    ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL WEEKLY, 1997, 32 (41) : 2608 - 2611
  • [40] Intraday periodicity in the relationship between the stock and stock index futures markets.
    Perez-Rodriguez, Jorge V.
    REVISTA DE ECONOMIA APLICADA, 2005, 13 (38): : 65 - 94