Sovereign credit rating contagion in the EU

被引:2
|
作者
Fourie, Leila [1 ]
Botha, Ilse [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Johannesburg, Dept Econ & Econometr, ZA-2006 Auckland Pk, South Africa
[2] Univ Johannesburg, Dept Finance & Investment Management, POB 524, ZA-2006 Auckland Pk, South Africa
关键词
Sovereign credit ratings; contagion; cointegration; causality; EU countries; PIGS; variance decomposition;
D O I
10.1016/S2212-5671(15)00651-6
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
The recent persistent and synchronised deterioration in the euro zone had severe consequences for the euro community, the effects of which have been felt by the global community. This study proved that sovereign rating contagion existed between euro countries during the two recent windows of crises, namely the Lehman and sovereign debt crisis. Compelling evidence from the analysis provided a clear indication of contagion during the two periods of crisis. Results indicated a higher vulnerability to shocks and a higher degree of connection during the windows of crises than during the tranquil periods. Notable was that the European Union (EU) sovereign debt crisis experienced a more pronounced degree of contagion than the Lehman crisis period did. During the sovereign debt crisis window, a dominant theme was the highly integrated connection between the Portugal, Italy, Greece and Spain (PIGS) group of countries. (C) 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.
引用
收藏
页码:218 / 227
页数:10
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [21] Rating agencies' credit signals: An analysis of sovereign watch and outlook
    Alsakka, Rasha
    ap Gwilym, Owain
    INTERNATIONAL REVIEW OF FINANCIAL ANALYSIS, 2012, 21 : 45 - 55
  • [22] Impact of Sovereign Credit Rating Disclosure on Chinese Financial Market
    Li, Chunling
    Pervaiz, Khansa
    Khan, Muhammad Asif
    Khan, Muhammad Atif
    Olah, Judit
    SAGE OPEN, 2022, 12 (01):
  • [23] The relation between sovereign credit rating revisions and economic growth
    Chen, Sheng-Syan
    Chen, Hsien-Yi
    Chang, Chong-Chuo
    Yang, Shu-Ling
    JOURNAL OF BANKING & FINANCE, 2016, 64 : 90 - 100
  • [24] Credit Rating Agencies: The Importance of Fundamentals in the Assessment of Sovereign Ratings
    Bozic, Vanja
    Magazzino, Cosimo
    ECONOMIC ANALYSIS AND POLICY, 2013, 43 (02) : 157 - 176
  • [25] Variations in sovereign credit quality assessments across rating agencies
    Hill, Paula
    Brooks, Robert
    Faff, Robert
    JOURNAL OF BANKING & FINANCE, 2010, 34 (06) : 1327 - 1343
  • [26] The relationship between sovereign credit rating changes and firm risk
    Chang, Chong-Chuo
    Wong, Wing-Keung
    Lo, Shih-Tse
    Liao, Yu-Hsuan
    HELIYON, 2023, 9 (10)
  • [27] Sovereign credit rating: Evidence of bias against poor countries
    Tennant, David F.
    Tracey, Marlon R.
    King, Damien W.
    NORTH AMERICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE, 2020, 51
  • [28] Prediction of Sovereign Credit Risk Rating Using Sensing Technology
    Yen, Chen-Ying
    Ju, Yi-Ling
    Sung, Shih-Fu
    Wu, Yu-Lung
    Su, En-Der
    SENSORS AND MATERIALS, 2021, 33 (09) : 3053 - 3068
  • [29] Credit rating agency downgrades and the Eurozone sovereign debt crises
    Baum, Christopher F.
    Schaefer, Dorothea
    Stephan, Andreas
    JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL STABILITY, 2016, 24 : 117 - 131
  • [30] DO CREDIT RATING AGENCIES ADD VALUE? EVIDENCE FROM THE SOVEREIGN RATING BUSINESS
    Cavallo, Eduardo
    Powell, Andrew
    Rigobon, Roberto
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS, 2013, 18 (03) : 240 - 265