An Analysis of the Dynamic Relationship between the Maritime Silk Road and the Economic Growth of China's Import and Export Trade

被引:0
|
作者
Liefu, A. [1 ]
机构
[1] Beijing Jiaotong Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100044, Peoples R China
关键词
Spatial econometric model; Maritime Silk Road; import and export trade; economic growth; dynamic relationship; IMPACT;
D O I
10.2112/SI106-031.1
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
The degree of economic growth of import and export trade is the key factor in evaluating the development of the Maritime Silk Road. To further analyze the dynamic relationship between the Maritime Silk Road and the economic growth of China's import and export trade, this paper builds the spatial econometric model, judges the relationship of the analysis error with the spatial external effect model, and carries out lag regulation. The countries along the Maritime Silk Road are roughly divided into Gulf, South Asia, and Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries. To begin, it is necessary to build a preliminary linear regression equation for the economic growth of import and export of countries along the Maritime Silk Road and China. Taking the output value of import and export, the total amount of investment in the infrastructure, and gross domestic product as the analysis indicators, this study explores the dynamic relationship between the Maritime Silk Road and the economic growth of China's import and export trade and tests the validity of the analysis model through empirical testing. The results show that in different periods and with different policies, the relationship between the Maritime Silk Road and the economic growth of China's import and export trade will change accordingly. At the same time, the participation of different indicators will affect the change range.
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页码:121 / 125
页数:5
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