Fertility;
Life expectancy;
Labor supply of elderly people;
Human capital;
LIFE EXPECTANCY;
OPTIMAL RETIREMENT;
AGING-POPULATION;
TRENDS;
GROWTH;
HEALTH;
COMPRESSION;
TRANSITION;
LONGEVITY;
MORTALITY;
D O I:
10.1016/j.jmacro.2016.12.004
中图分类号:
F [经济];
学科分类号:
02 ;
摘要:
Increases in life expectancy and the fertility rate have been observed as per-capita income increases in economically developed countries with high per-capita income. We explain these observations using a synthetic economic model with endogenous lifetime, retirement, and human capital accumulation. In contrast to the result obtained by assuming an institutionally fixed and compulsory retirement, a longer life expectancy attributable to rises in per-capita income can induce elderly people to leave the labor market later, thereby enabling them to increase consumption of goods as well as "children" when young. Consequently, higher per-capita income can be associated with higher fertility. (C) 2016 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
机构:
Fudan Univ, Sch Social Dev & Publ Policy, Shanghai, Peoples R ChinaFudan Univ, Sch Social Dev & Publ Policy, Shanghai, Peoples R China
Shen, Ke
Yan, Ping
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机构:
Peking Univ, Natl Sch Dev, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaFudan Univ, Sch Social Dev & Publ Policy, Shanghai, Peoples R China
Yan, Ping
Zeng, Yi
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h-index: 0
机构:
Duke Univ, Ctr Study Aging & Human Dev, Durham, NC 27706 USA
Duke Univ, Div Geriatr, Sch Med, Durham, NC 27706 USA
Peking Univ, Natl Sch Dev, Ctr Hlth Aging & Dev Studies, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaFudan Univ, Sch Social Dev & Publ Policy, Shanghai, Peoples R China