Geomagnetic activity and solar cycles

被引:3
|
作者
Silbergleit, VM
Larocca, PA
机构
[1] Univ Buenos Aires, Fac Ingn, Dept Fis, RA-1063 Buenos Aires, DF, Argentina
[2] Consejo Nacl Invest Cient & Tecn, RA-1033 Buenos Aires, DF, Argentina
来源
SPACE WEATHER | 2005年 / 36卷 / 12期
关键词
storms; sunspots; multiple linear regression method;
D O I
10.1016/j.asr.2003.08.084
中图分类号
V [航空、航天];
学科分类号
08 ; 0825 ;
摘要
Multiple linear regression method is used to estimate the total number of geomagnetic storms per solar cycle and to predict cycle 23's maximum amplitude. A recurrence trend of 7 and 12 cycles are used as lagged values to estimate the amplitude of the current cycle, which resulted to be equal to 137 (+/- 65) smoothed monthly mean sunspots. (c) 2004 COSPAR. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:2384 / 2387
页数:4
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