Bayesian inference in oil spill response management

被引：4
|
作者：
Aps, R. [1 ]
Sawano, N. [2 ,3 ]
Hamada, S. [4 ]
Fetissov, M. [1 ]
机构：
[1] Univ Tartu, Estonian Marine Inst, Tartu, Estonia
[2] Inaoki Educ Inst, Kanazawa, Ishikawa, Japan
[3] Seiryo Womens Jr Coll, Kanazawa, Ishikawa, Japan
[4] Geol Survey Hokkaido, Dept Marine Geosci, Sapporo, Hokkaido, Japan
来源：
RISK ANALYSIS VII: SIMULATION AND HAZARD MITIGATION & BROWNFIELDS V: PREVENTION, ASSESSMENT, REHABILITATION AND DEVELOPMENT OF BROWNFIELD SITES | 2010年
关键词：
oil spill response; environmental risk assessment; Hokkaido Island; potential incident simulation; control and evaluation system (PISCES 2); environmental sensitivity index (ESI); Bayesian consensual decision ranking;
D O I：
10.2495/RISK100041
中图分类号：
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号：
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要：
La Perouse (Soya) Strait, 40 km in width, separates Hokkaido Island (Japan) from Sakhalin Island (Russia), and connects the Sea of Japan to the west with the Sea of Okhotsk to the east. Vessel Automatic Identification System (AIS) data analysis for that strait, conducted in Japan, has shown extremely busy ship transport and a number of dangerous crossings, with a great deal of that transport being crude oil. The Web application integrates the Potential Incident Simulation, Control and Evaluation System (PISCES 2) and the Environmental Sensitivity Index (ESI) maps for environmental risk assessment, while the Bayesian consensual decision tool is used to support consensus building among oil spill response managers.
引用
收藏
页码：PI35 / PI46
页数：12
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