Real-time precise point positioning-based zenith tropospheric delay for precipitation forecasting

GPS-based Zenith Tropospheric Delay (ZTD) estimation should be easily obtained in a cost-effective way, however, the most previous studies focus on post-processed ZTD estimates using satellite orbit and clock products with at least 3-9 hours latency provided by International GNSS Service (IGS), which limits the GNSS meteorological application for nowcasting. With the development of IGS's real-time pilot project (RTPP), this limitation was removed by April, 2013 as real-time satellite orbit and clock products can be obtained on-line. In this paper, on the one hand, the GPS-derived ZTD estimation was evaluated using the IGS final and real-time satellite products based on independently developed PPP software. On the other hand, the analysis of the time series of GPS-derived ZTD by least-square fitting of a broken line tendency for a full year of observations, and a forecasting method for precipitation is proposed based on the ZTD slope in the ascending period. The agreement between ZTD slope and the ground rainfall records suggested that the proposed method is useful for the assisted forecasting, especially for short-term alarms.