Risk modeling methodology for analyzing airline safety

This paper proposes two risk models for analyzing pilot-error at U.S. airlines. The focus is on whether pilot-specific factors and airline-specific factors (names of the airlines) are useful in predicting pilot-error. These are the first models that reliably predict pilot-error accident and incident rates on an airline-by-airline basis. By analyzing factors associated with pilot-error, policy-makers can more effectively manage and reduce the risk of airline accidents and incidents.