Estimation of possible climatic changes of river runoff in the Northern Dvina River basin in the 21st century

被引：0

作者：

Bel'chikov, V. A. ^{[1
]}

Polunin, A. Ya. ^{[1
]}

Simonov, Yu. A. ^{[1
]}

Khristoforov, A. V. ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Hydrometeorol Res Ctr Russian Federat, Moscow 123242, Russia

[2] Moscow MV Lomonosov State Univ, Moscow 119991, Russia

来源：

RUSSIAN METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY | 2013年 / 38卷 / 02期

关键词：

River Runoff; RUSSIAN Meteorology; Reference Period; Atmospheric General Circulation Model; Snow Water Equivalent;

D O I：

10.3103/S106837391302009X

中图分类号：

P4 [大气科学（气象学）];

学科分类号：

0706 ; 070601 ;

摘要：

Presented is a method of studying possible climate-driven changes of river runoff characteristics, according to which the atmosphere-ocean general circulation models are used for computing the climate system impact, whereas the response of a watershed to given disturbance is estimated using the model of runoff formation in a river basin. The study is carried out for the Northern Dvina River basin. Estimates of possible changes (relative to the reference period) by the middle and late 21st century of such water regime characteristics as mean annual and maximum water discharge, as well as mean discharge values for the spring, summer-fall and winter seasons, are presented.

引用

页码：119 / 125

页数：7

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