The bias of the RSR estimator and the accuracy of some alternatives

被引:23
|
作者
Goetzmann, WN [1 ]
Peng, L
机构
[1] Yale Univ, Sch Management, New Haven, CT 06520 USA
[2] Yale Univ, Dept Econ, New Haven, CT 06520 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1111/1540-6229.00028
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
This paper analyzes the implications of cross-sectional heteroskedasticity in the repeat sales regression (RSR). RSR estimators are essentially geometric averages of individual asset returns because of the logarithmic transformation of price relatives. We show that the cross-sectional variance of asset returns affects the magnitude of the bias in the average return estimate for each period, while reducing the bias for the surrounding periods. It is not easy to use an approximation method to correct the bias problem. We suggest an unbiased maximum likelihood alternative to the RSR that directly estimates index returns, which we term MLRSR. The unbiased MLRSR estimators are analogous to the RSR estimators but are arithmetic averages of individual asset returns. Simulations show that these estimators are robust to time-varying cross-sectional variance and that the MLRSR may be more accurate than RSR and some alternative methods.
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页码:13 / 39
页数:27
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