Forecasting agricultural production using co-integration analysis

被引：1
|
作者：
Alexiadis, Stilianos [1 ]
机构：
[1] Minist Rural Dev & Food, Dept Strateg Planning Rural Dev Evaluat & Documen, Div Documentat & Agr Stat, Room 519,2 Acharnon St, Athens 10432, Greece
来源：
LAND USE POLICY | 2017年 / 61卷
关键词：
Forecasting; Co-integration; Agriculture; CATTLE;
D O I：
10.1016/j.landusepol.2016.11.038
中图分类号：
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号：
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要：
A forecasting method, easily understood and applied by administrators/policy-makers, is developed in this paper. Based on a simple, but quite realistic assumption, that production in a given region 'pulls' or 'shapes' the volume of production nationally a co-integration forecasting method is proposed in the paper. Using data from administrative regions, the empirical analysis suggests that the property of co-integration can be used to forecast agricultural production in the short-run. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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页码：466 / 474
页数：9
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