A fuzzy time series model to forecast the BDI

被引:5
|
作者
Chou, Ming-Tao [1 ]
机构
[1] Chang Jung Christian Univ, Dept Aviat & Martime Transportat Managemnet, Tainan, Taiwan
关键词
Fuzzy time series; Fuzzy forecasting; BDI;
D O I
10.1109/NCM.2008.94
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
Fuzzy time series models has been applied to forecast various problems and have been shown to forecast better than other models. In this article, we intend to apply Chou and Lee's fuzzy time series model to forecast the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) index for the next month. The root mean square error is one criteria to evaluate the forecasting performance. Empirical results show that the fuzzy time series model is suitable for the BDI's prediction.
引用
收藏
页码:50 / 53
页数:4
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] A NEW METHOD TO FORECAST ENROLLMENTS USING FUZZY TIME SERIES AND CLUSTERING TECHNIQUES
    Tanuwijaya, Kurniawan
    Chen, Shyi-Ming
    PROCEEDINGS OF 2009 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MACHINE LEARNING AND CYBERNETICS, VOLS 1-6, 2009, : 3026 - 3029
  • [32] A Hybrid Algorithm to Forecast Enrolment Based on Genetic Algorithms and Fuzzy Time Series
    Al-Wazan, Haneen
    Ibraheem, Kais
    Salim, Abdul-Ghafoor
    INTERNATIONAL ARAB JOURNAL OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY, 2014, 11 (03) : 250 - 257
  • [33] A Fuzzy Methodology to Improve Time Series Forecast of Power Demand in Distribution Systems
    Moraes, L. A.
    Flauzino, R. A.
    Araujo, M. A.
    Batista, O. E.
    2013 IEEE POWER AND ENERGY SOCIETY GENERAL MEETING (PES), 2013,
  • [34] An information criterion for fuzzy time series to forecast stock exchange index on TAIEX
    Huarng, K
    Yu, HK
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE 7TH JOINT CONFERENCE ON INFORMATION SCIENCES, 2003, : 187 - 189
  • [35] Incremental nonlinear trend fuzzy granulation for carbon trading time series forecast
    Xian, Sidong
    Feng, Miaomiao
    Cheng, Yue
    APPLIED ENERGY, 2023, 352
  • [37] An Online Public Opinion Forecast Model Based on Time Series
    Cheng, Hui
    Liu, Yun
    JOURNAL OF INTERNET TECHNOLOGY, 2008, 9 (05): : 429 - 432
  • [38] The TAR Forecast Model Establishment Based on the Sunspot Time Series
    Xu Xiangkun
    Xu Huabing
    THIRD INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MODELING, SIMULATION AND OPTIMIZATION (CMSO 2010), 2010, : 9 - 12
  • [39] A novel hybrid model to forecast seasonal and chaotic time series
    Abbasimehr, Hossein
    Behboodi, Amirreza
    Bahrini, Aram
    EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS, 2024, 239
  • [40] Forecast model of greenhouse temperature based on time series method
    Zuo Z.
    Mao H.
    Zhang X.
    Hu J.
    Han L.
    Ni J.
    Nongye Jixie Xuebao/Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Machinery, 2010, 41 (11): : 173 - 177+182