Inferences in semi-parametric dynamic mixed models for longitudinal count data

This paper considers a semi-parametric mixed model for longitudinal counts under the assumption that for conditional on a common random effect over time the repeated count responses of an individual follow a Poisson AR(1) (auto-regressive order 1) non-stationary correlation structure. A step-by-step estimation approach is developed which provides consistent estimators for the non-parametric function, regression parameters, variance of the random effects, and auto-correlation structure of the model. Proofs for the consistency properties of the estimators along with their convergence rates are derived. A simulation study is conducted to examine first the estimation effects on parameters when the non-parametric function is ignored, and then an overall estimation study is carried out in the presence of the non-parametric function by including its estimation as well.