Psychotherapy in 2022: A Delphi Poll on Its Future

被引:70
|
作者
Norcross, John C. [1 ]
Pfund, Rory A. [2 ]
Prochaska, James O. [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Scranton, Scranton, PA 18510 USA
[2] Univ Scranton, Dept Psychol, Scranton, PA 18510 USA
[3] Univ Rhode Isl, Canc Prevent Res Consortium, Kingston, RI 02881 USA
关键词
psychotherapy; future of psychology; Delphi poll; psychologists; theoretical orientations; evidence-based practice; PSYCHOLOGY;
D O I
10.1037/a0034633
中图分类号
B84 [心理学];
学科分类号
04 ; 0402 ;
摘要
Repeating and expanding Delphi polls conducted during the past 30 years, the authors empaneled 70 psychotherapy experts to forecast psychotherapy trends in the next decade. Mindfulness, cognitive-behavioral, integrative, and multicultural theories were predicted to increase the most, whereas Jungian therapy, classical psychoanalysis, and transactional analysis were expected to decline the most. Technological, self-change, skill-building, and relationship-fostering interventions were judged to be in the ascendancy. Internet programs, telephone therapy, and master's-level professionals were expected to flourish. Forecast scenarios with the highest likelihood centered on expansion of telepsychology, evidence-based practice, pharmacotherapy, and masters-degree practitioners flooding the job market. Four themes seem to be driving these changes: technology, economy, evidence, and ideas.
引用
收藏
页码:363 / 370
页数:8
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