Future-oriented impact assessment: Supporting strategic decision-making in complex socio-technical environments

被引：21

作者：

Nieminen, Mika ^{[1
]}

Hyytinen, Kirsi ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] VTT Tech Res Ctr Finland, Tampere 33131, Finland

来源：

EVALUATION | 2015年 / 21卷 / 04期

关键词：

combining methods; complexity; evaluation; impact assessment; science; socio-technical; strategic decision-making; systems thinking; technology and innovation; SYSTEM DYNAMICS; MULTILEVEL ANALYSIS; POLICY; TRANSFORMATION; TRANSITION; RECONFIGURATION; EVOLUTIONARY; INNOVATION; TYPOLOGY;

D O I：

10.1177/1356389015606540

中图分类号：

C [社会科学总论];

学科分类号：

03 ; 0303 ;

摘要：

The article proposes a systemic and future-oriented evaluation approach designed to support decision-making in complex socio-technical environments. The approach integrates established methods of evaluation, foresight, impact assessment, system dynamic modelling and societal embedding within a single framework to provide versatile information to increase strategic intelligence in decision-making. This generic and flexible framework aims to support decision-making in various policy and decision-making situations. It is designed to meet the challenges of the changing innovation environment.

引用

页码：448 / 461

页数：14

共 23 条

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