Future-oriented impact assessment: Supporting strategic decision-making in complex socio-technical environments

被引：21
|
作者：
Nieminen, Mika [1 ]
Hyytinen, Kirsi [1 ]
机构：
[1] VTT Tech Res Ctr Finland, Tampere 33131, Finland
来源：
EVALUATION | 2015年 / 21卷 / 04期
关键词：
combining methods; complexity; evaluation; impact assessment; science; socio-technical; strategic decision-making; systems thinking; technology and innovation; SYSTEM DYNAMICS; MULTILEVEL ANALYSIS; POLICY; TRANSFORMATION; TRANSITION; RECONFIGURATION; EVOLUTIONARY; INNOVATION; TYPOLOGY;
D O I：
10.1177/1356389015606540
中图分类号：
C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号：
03 ; 0303 ;
摘要：
The article proposes a systemic and future-oriented evaluation approach designed to support decision-making in complex socio-technical environments. The approach integrates established methods of evaluation, foresight, impact assessment, system dynamic modelling and societal embedding within a single framework to provide versatile information to increase strategic intelligence in decision-making. This generic and flexible framework aims to support decision-making in various policy and decision-making situations. It is designed to meet the challenges of the changing innovation environment.
引用
收藏
页码：448 / 461
页数：14
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