More is different ... and complex! the case for agent-based macroeconomics

被引:78
|
作者
Dosi, Giovanni [1 ,2 ]
Roventini, Andrea [1 ,2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Scuola Super Sant Anna, EMbeDS, Piazza Martiri Liberta 33, I-56127 Pisa, Italy
[2] Scuola Super Sant Anna, Inst Econ, Piazza Martiri Liberta 33, I-56127 Pisa, Italy
[3] Sci Po, OFCE, Paris, France
关键词
Macroeconomics; Economic policy; Keynesian theory; New neoclassical synthesis; New Keynesian models; DSGE models; Agent-based evolutionary models; Complexity theory; Great recession; Crisis; MONETARY-POLICY; RATIONAL-EXPECTATIONS; BUSINESS CYCLES; MODEL; GROWTH; DEMAND; DYNAMICS; CRISIS; MICROFOUNDATIONS; FLEXIBILITY;
D O I
10.1007/s00191-019-00609-y
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This work nests the Agent-Based macroeconomic perspective into the earlier history of macroeconomics. We discuss how the discipline in the 70's took a perverse path relying on models grounded on fictitious rational representative agent in order to try to pathetically circumvent aggregation and coordination problems. The Great Recession was a natural experiment for macroeconomics, showing the inadequacy of the predominant theoretical framework grounded on DSGE models. After discussing the pathological fallacies of the DSGE-based approach, we claim that macroeconomics should consider the economy as a complex evolving system, i.e. as an ecology populated by heterogenous agents, whose far-from-equilibrium interactions continuously change the structure of the system. This in turn implies that more is different: macroeconomics cannot be shrink to representative-agent micro, but agents' complex interactions lead to emergence of new phenomena and hierarchical structure at the macro level. This is what is taken into account by agent-based models, which provide a novel way to model complex economies from the bottom-up, with sound empirically-based microfoundations. We present the foundations of Agent-Based macroeconomics and we discuss how the contributions of this special issue push its frontier forward. Finally, we conclude by discussing the ways ahead for the fully acknowledgement of agent-based models as the standard way of theorizing in macroeconomics.
引用
收藏
页码:1 / 37
页数:37
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