Task familiarity and contextual cues predict hypothetical bias in a meta-analysis of stated preference studies

被引：49

作者：

Schlaepfer, Felix ^{[1
,2
]}

Fischhoff, Baruch ^{[3
,4
]}

机构：

[1] Fed Inst Technol ETH, Inst Environm Decis, Zurich, Switzerland

[2] Kalaidos Univ Appl Sci, Dept Econ & Management, Zurich, Switzerland

[3] Carnegie Mellon Univ, Dept Social & Decis Sci, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA

[4] Carnegie Mellon Univ, Dept Engn & Publ Policy, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA

来源：

ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS | 2012年 / 81卷

基金：

美国国家科学基金会;

关键词：

Consistency; Constructed preferences; Contingent valuation; Hypothetical bias; Meta-analysis; Stated preferences; Validity; CONTINGENT VALUATION; VOTING-BEHAVIOR; ELICITATION; AUCTIONS;

D O I：

10.1016/j.ecolecon.2012.06.016

中图分类号：

Q14 [生态学（生物生态学）];

学科分类号：

071012 ; 0713 ;

摘要：

Traditional stated preference theory does not provide useful guidance on hypothetical bias because the bias lies outside the theory. Not surprisingly, meta-analyses using variables from the theory have not revealed consistent patterns of bias. We find that these models are substantially improved by including two additional variables drawn from positive research on choice behavior. These results lead us to recommend survey procedures that address these concerns. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：44 / 47

页数：4

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