How does economic policy uncertainty respond to permanent and transitory shocks?

被引:0
|
作者
Funashima, Yoshito [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Tohoku Gakuin Univ, Fac Econ, Sendai, Japan
[2] Tohoku Gakuin Univ, Fac Econ, 1-3-1 Tsuchitoi,Aoba Ku, Sendai, Miyagi 9808511, Japan
关键词
economic policy uncertainty index; media; overreaction; permanent shocks; transitory shocks; structural vector autoregressive analysis; US; COINTEGRATION; DEMAND; CREDIT; IMPACT;
D O I
10.1111/boer.12424
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
The widely used economic policy uncertainty index relies on newspaper reports' word count and may be influenced by media coverage biases. This empirical study explores the response of the economic policy uncertainty index to permanent and transitory shocks, which are identified using a structural vector autoregressive model. We find an overreaction in the economic policy uncertainty index to a permanent shock, suggesting media reporting's temporary overeagerness. Specifically, we demonstrate that the index responds negatively and transiently to a permanent shock, followed by reversed, prolonged responses. However, the negative and transient effects of a transitory shock on the index are milder.
引用
收藏
页码:267 / 282
页数:16
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] How does corporate investment respond to trade policy uncertainty in China? The role of political connections
    Yin, Doudou
    Si, Deng-Kui
    Wang, Yun
    ECONOMIC ANALYSIS AND POLICY, 2024, 82 : 1429 - 1445
  • [32] UK stock price effects of permanent and transitory shocks
    Vivian, Andrew
    Wohar, Mark E.
    EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 2010, 16 (07): : 641 - 656
  • [33] Econometric analysis of structural systems with permanent and transitory shocks
    Pagan, A. R.
    Pesaran, M. Hashem
    JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS & CONTROL, 2008, 32 (10): : 3376 - 3395
  • [34] Professional Forecasters' Views of Permanent and Transitory Shocks to GDP
    Krane, Spencer D.
    AMERICAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL-MACROECONOMICS, 2011, 3 (01) : 184 - 211
  • [35] IS TOURISM IN LEBANON SUBJECT TO PERMANENT OR TRANSITORY EXOGENOUS SHOCKS?
    Bassil, Charbel
    Saleh, Ali
    Anwar, Sajid
    TOURISM ANALYSIS, 2014, 19 (06): : 781 - 790
  • [36] How does the supply chain market respond to policy shocks? Evidence from solar photovoltaic sectors in China
    Ou, Yinlin
    Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling
    Chui, Chin Man
    RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2024, 232
  • [37] Permanent and transitory shocks in the presence of asymmetric error correction
    Chan, F.
    MacDonald, G.
    APPLIED ECONOMICS, 2015, 47 (25) : 2642 - 2648
  • [38] Are Shocks Transitory or Permanent? An Inquiry into Agricultural Commodity Prices
    Ghoshray, Atanu
    JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS, 2019, 70 (01) : 26 - 43
  • [39] How does economic policy uncertainty influence energy policy? The role of financial sector development
    Xu, Mengfeng
    Farooq, Umar
    Tabash, Mosab I.
    Aljughaiman, Abdullah A.
    ENERGY STRATEGY REVIEWS, 2024, 55
  • [40] How does the capital market respond to policy shocks? Evidence from listed solar photovoltaic companies in China
    Liu, Chang
    Liu, Linlin
    Zhang, Dayong
    Fu, Jiasha
    ENERGY POLICY, 2021, 151