Spatial Patterns of Turbidity in Cartagena Bay, Colombia, Using Sentinel-2 Imagery

The Cartagena Bay in Colombia has vital economic and environmental importance, playing a fundamental role in both the port and tourism sectors. Unfortunately, the water quality of the bay is undergoing a deterioration process due to the significant influx of sediment from the artificial channel known as Canal del Dique. Although field campaigns are carried out semiannually with 12 monitoring stations to evaluate these impacts, understanding the spatial dynamics of suspended solids in the bay remains a challenge. This article presents a spatial analysis of water turbidity in the Cartagena Bay during the years 2018 to 2022, using Sentinel-2 images. To achieve this objective, an empirical algorithm was developed through the Monte Carlo simulation. The validation of the algorithm demonstrated an R-squared value of 0.83, with an RMSE of 2.72 and a MAPE of 24.93%. The results showed the seasonal variability, with higher turbidity levels during the rainy season, reaching up to 35 FNU, and lower turbidities during the dry season, dropping to 1 FNU. Furthermore, these findings indicated that the southern area of the bay presents the most significant turbidity variations. This research enhances our understanding of the bay's turbidity dynamics and suggests an additional tool for its monitoring.