Combining embeddings and fuzzy time series for high-dimensional time series forecasting in internet of energy applications?

被引:9
|
作者
Bitencourt, Hugo Vinicius [1 ,2 ]
de Souza, Luiz Augusto Facury [2 ]
dos Santos, Matheus Cascalho [2 ]
Silva, Rodrigo [3 ]
de Lima e Silva, Petronio Candido [4 ]
Guimaraes, Frederico Gadelha [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Fed Minas Gerais, Grad Program Elect Engn, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
[2] Univ Fed Minas Gerais, Machine Intelligence & Data Sci MINDS Lab, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
[3] Fed Univ Ouro Preto UFOP, Dept Comp Sci, Ouro Preto, Brazil
[4] Fed Inst Educ Sci & Technol Northern Minas Gerais, Januaria Campus, Quintino Bocaiuva, Brazil
关键词
Multivariate time series; Fuzzy time series; Embedding transformation; Time series forecasting; Smart buildings; Internet of energy; BIG DATA; MODELS; THINGS; IOT;
D O I
10.1016/j.energy.2023.127072
中图分类号
O414.1 [热力学];
学科分类号
摘要
High-dimensional time series increasingly arise in the Internet of Energy (IoE), given the use of multi-sensor environments and the two way communication between energy consumers and the smart grid. Therefore, methods that are capable of computing high-dimensional time series are of great value in smart building and IoE applications. Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) models stand out as data-driven non-parametric models of easy implementation and high accuracy. Unfortunately, the existing FTS models can be unfeasible if all variables were used to train the model. We present a new methodology named Embedding Fuzzy Time Series (EFTS), by applying a combination of data embedding transformation and FTS methods. The EFTS is an explainable and data-driven approach, which is flexible and adaptable for many smart building and IoE applications. The experimental results with three public datasets show that our methodology outperforms several machine learning based forecasting methods (LSTM, GRU, TCN, RNN, MLP and GBM), and demonstrates the accuracy and parsimony of the EFTS in comparison to the baseline methods and the results previously published in the literature, showing an enhancement greater than 80%. Therefore, EFTS has a great value in high-dimensional time series forecasting in IoE applications.
引用
收藏
页数:12
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] Seasonal forecasting In fuzzy time series
    Song, Q
    FUZZY SETS AND SYSTEMS, 1999, 107 (02) : 235 - 236
  • [42] Fuzzy NN Time Series Forecasting
    Flores, Juan J.
    Gonzalez-Santoyo, Federico
    Flores, Beatriz
    Molina, Ruben
    SCIENTIFIC METHODS FOR THE TREATMENT OF UNCERTAINTY IN SOCIAL SCIENCES, 2015, 377 : 167 - 179
  • [43] Multiple-Input-Multiple-Output Randomized Fuzzy Cognitive Map Method for High-Dimensional Time Series Forecasting
    Orang, Omid
    Bitencourt, Hugo Vinicius
    de Souza, Luiz Augusto Facury
    Lucas, Patricia de Oliveira
    Silva, Petronio C. L.
    Guimaraes, Frederico Gadelha
    IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON FUZZY SYSTEMS, 2024, 32 (06) : 3703 - 3715
  • [44] Probabilistic Forecasting With Fuzzy Time Series
    de Lima Silva, Petronio Candido
    Sadaei, Hossein Javedani
    Ballini, Rosangela
    Guimaraes, Frederico Gadelha
    IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON FUZZY SYSTEMS, 2020, 28 (08) : 1771 - 1784
  • [45] Interval Forecasting with Fuzzy Time Series
    Silva, Petronio C. L.
    Sadaei, Hossein Javedani
    Guimaraes, Frederico Gadelha
    PROCEEDINGS OF 2016 IEEE SYMPOSIUM SERIES ON COMPUTATIONAL INTELLIGENCE (SSCI), 2016,
  • [46] Sliced inverse regression for high-dimensional time series
    Becker, C
    Fried, R
    EXPLORATORY DATA ANALYSIS IN EMPIRICAL RESEARCH, PROCEEDINGS, 2003, : 3 - 11
  • [47] Estimation of latent factors for high-dimensional time series
    Lam, Clifford
    Yao, Qiwei
    Bathia, Neil
    BIOMETRIKA, 2011, 98 (04) : 901 - 918
  • [48] On consistency and sparsity for high-dimensional functional time series with to
    Guo, Shaojun
    Qiao, Xinghao
    BERNOULLI, 2023, 29 (01) : 451 - 472
  • [49] High-Dimensional Multivariate Time Series With Additional Structure
    Schweinberger, Michael
    Babkin, Sergii
    Ensor, Katherine B.
    JOURNAL OF COMPUTATIONAL AND GRAPHICAL STATISTICS, 2017, 26 (03) : 610 - 622
  • [50] Determining the number of factors for high-dimensional time series
    Xia, Qiang
    Liang, Rubing
    Wu, Jianhong
    Wong, Heung
    STATISTICS AND ITS INTERFACE, 2018, 11 (02) : 307 - 316