Towards the Future of Public Health: Roadmapping Trends and Scenarios in the Post-COVID Healthcare Era

被引:2
|
作者
El-Warrak, Leonardo [1 ]
Nunes, Mariano [1 ]
Luna, Gabriel [1 ]
Barbosa, Carlos Eduardo [1 ,2 ]
Lyra, Alan [1 ]
Argolo, Matheus [1 ]
Lima, Yuri [1 ]
Salazar, Herbert [1 ]
de Souza, Jano Moreira [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Fed Rio de Janeiro UFRJ, Ctr Tecnol, Grad Sch Engn COPPE, Ave Horacio Macedo 2030,Bloco H, BR-21941972 Rio De Janeiro, Brazil
[2] Ctr Anal Sistemas Navais, BR-20091000 Rio De Janeiro, Brazil
关键词
forecasting; public health; roadmap; future; research avenue; PERSPECTIVE; BURDEN;
D O I
10.3390/healthcare11243118
中图分类号
R19 [保健组织与事业(卫生事业管理)];
学科分类号
摘要
The COVID-19 pandemic, a transformative event in modern society, has disrupted routine, work, behavior, and human relationships. Organizations, amidst the chaos, have innovatively adapted to the evolving situation. However, many countries were unprepared for the magnitude of the challenge, revealing the fragility of health responses due to inadequate leadership, insufficient resources, and poor information system integration. Structural changes in health systems are imperative, particularly in leadership, governance, human resources, financing, information systems, technology, and health service provision. This research utilizes the Technological Roadmapping method to analyze the health sector, focusing on public health, drawing on articles from SCOPUS and PubMed databases, and creating a roadmap extending to 2050. The research presents three long-term scenarios based on the literature-derived roadmap and explores various alternatives, including integrated care, telemedicine, Big Data utilization, nanotechnology, and Big Tech's AI services. The results underscore the anticipation of post-pandemic public health with high expectations, emphasizing the importance of integrating health history access, encouraging self-care, and leveraging technology for streamlined treatment. Practical implications include insights for decision makers and stakeholders to inform strategic planning and adapt to evolving industry demands, recognizing the significance of preventive services and the humanizing potential of technology.
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页数:18
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