Forecasting of the Short-Term Electricity Load Based on WOA-BILSTM

被引:4
|
作者
Zhao, Huaxin [1 ,2 ]
Zhou, Zhenliu [2 ,3 ]
Zhang, Pizhen [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Shenyang Inst Engn, Elect Engn Coll, Shenyang, Peoples R China
[2] Shenyang Key Lab Energy Internet Intelligent Perce, Shenyang, Peoples R China
[3] Shenyang Inst Engn, Informat Coll, Shenyang, Peoples R China
关键词
Short-term power load forecasting; machine learning; whale optimization algorithm; neural network with dual long-short-term memory; POWER;
D O I
10.1142/S0218001423590188
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
One of the biggest difficulties, which China's power infrastructure is now experiencing, is the capacity to estimate demand of short-term electricity. It can accurately estimate changes in the total power load in particular locations. Accurate forecasting results, which also serve as a dependable guide for power system operation, may increase the flexibility and resource usage of the contemporary power market. Power load characteristics are impacted by several things. This study presents an estimate method for short-term demand of electricity based on WOA-BILSTM in order to comprehensively evaluate the time series features presented in the power load data and improve the accuracy of power load forecasting. After extracting features for the variables that influence power load, this method uses the bidirectional long-term and short-term memory (BILSTM) neural network layer for bidirectional time series feature learning. Using the local electricity load data from Quanzhou from 2018 as the data set, the prediction model is constructed by screening the multi-dimensional input parameters and selecting the feature vectors with good association as the input carefully. By comparing the outcomes of three popular load forecasting models, including LSTM network, BILSTM network, and WOA-BILSTM, it is demonstrated that the WOA-BILSTM neural network method is more accurate and effective than others two. By building an optimal combination model, this technique could increase the accuracy of power load data's short-term predictions. At the same time, it also reduces the time of personnel debugging.
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收藏
页数:20
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