Terms-of-trade effects of productivity shocks in developing economies

This paper studies the terms-of-trade effects of economy-specific shocks to productivity in developing economies using a panel vector autoregression model with interactive fixed effects and the "max-share" approach. We find that the terms of trade after unanticipated changes in economy-specific productivity mostly exhibit insignificant dynamics in the developing economies. However, we present evidence that they can significantly deteriorate in a particular set of developing countries, namely the ones with a high score on technological deepening and upgrading.