Preference reversals in dynamic decision-making under uncertainty based on regret theory

被引:1
|
作者
Guo, Sainan [1 ,2 ]
Vetschera, Rudolf [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Vienna, Dept Business Decis & Analyt, Vienna, Austria
[2] Univ Vienna, Dept Business Decis & Analyt, Oskar Morgenstern Pl 1, A-1090 Vienna, Austria
关键词
CHOICE;
D O I
10.1002/mde.3778
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This research aims at preference reversals in dynamic adjusting decisions made by decision-makers who have regretful emotions. Our model incorporates a utility function that includes the regretful feeling into outcomes under uncertainty. Then, by using the process of backward induction, it analyzes differences in the decisions of three types of decision-makers with perfect rationality, partially anticipated regret, and fully anticipated regret. Finally, we apply this dynamic adjusting model to emergency plans in which decision-makers need to choose the best action from multiple selections quickly to reduce the loss caused by disaster incidents and uncertainty. This model allows to compare decisions made by rational and irrational agents, which is a more realistic estimate and measure of several applications in the real life, such as medical services and emergency management.
引用
收藏
页码:1720 / 1731
页数:12
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] DYNAMIC DECISION-MAKING UNDER UNCERTAINTY - AN EXPERIMENTAL-STUDY OF THE DYNAMIC COMPETITIVE FIRM
    HEY, JD
    OXFORD ECONOMIC PAPERS-NEW SERIES, 1993, 45 (01): : 58 - 82
  • [42] QUANTUM UNCERTAINTY AND DECISION-MAKING IN GAME THEORY
    Asano, M.
    Ohya, M.
    Tanaka, Y.
    Khrennikov, A.
    Basieva, I.
    QUANTUM BIO-INFORMATICS IV: FROM QUANTUM INFORMATION TO BIO-INFORMATICS, 2011, 28 : 51 - 60
  • [43] A canonical theory of dynamic decision-making
    Fox, John
    Cooper, Richard P.
    Glasspool, David W.
    FRONTIERS IN PSYCHOLOGY, 2013, 4
  • [44] Grey stochastic multi-criteria decision-making based on regret theory and TOPSIS
    Zhou, Huan
    Wang, Jian-qiang
    Zhang, Hong-yu
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MACHINE LEARNING AND CYBERNETICS, 2017, 8 (02) : 651 - 664
  • [45] MODELING MEDICAL DECISION-MAKING UNDER UNCERTAINTY
    BOREHAM, NC
    BRITISH JOURNAL OF EDUCATIONAL PSYCHOLOGY, 1989, 59 : 187 - 199
  • [46] FUZZY MODELING OF DECISION-MAKING UNDER UNCERTAINTY
    LAPIGA, AG
    POLYAKOV, VV
    INDUSTRIAL LABORATORY, 1989, 55 (05): : 596 - 600
  • [47] Technology investment decision-making under uncertainty
    Robert J. Kauffman
    Jun Liu
    Dan Ma
    Information Technology and Management, 2015, 16 : 153 - 172
  • [48] Climate Change and Decision-Making Under Uncertainty
    Rasoul Yousefpour
    Marc Hanewinkel
    Current Forestry Reports, 2016, 2 : 143 - 149
  • [49] Judicial and Clinical Decision-Making under Uncertainty
    Manski, Charles F.
    JOURNAL OF INSTITUTIONAL AND THEORETICAL ECONOMICS-ZEITSCHRIFT FUR DIE GESAMTE STAATSWISSENSCHAFT, 2020, 176 (01): : 33 - 43
  • [50] Intelligent and Dependable Decision-Making Under Uncertainty
    Jansen, Nils
    FORMAL METHODS, FM 2023, 2023, 14000 : 26 - 36