Vulnerability to climate change of managed stocks in the California Current large marine ecosystem

被引：11

作者：

McClure, Michelle M. M. ^{[1
,2
]}

Haltuch, Melissa A. A. ^{[1
]}

Willis-Norton, Ellen ^{[3
]}

Huff, David D. D. ^{[1
]}

Hazen, Elliott L. L. ^{[4
]}

Crozier, Lisa G. G. ^{[1
]}

Jacox, Michael G. G. ^{[4
,5
]}

Nelson, Mark W. W. ^{[6
]}

Andrews, Kelly S. S. ^{[1
]}

Barnett, Lewis A. K. ^{[7
,8
,9
]}

Berger, Aaron M. M. ^{[1
]}

Beyer, Sabrina ^{[3
,10
]}

Bizzarro, Joe ^{[10
,11
]}

Boughton, David ^{[10
]}

Cope, Jason M. M. ^{[1
]}

Carr, Mark ^{[3
]}

Dewar, Heidi ^{[12
]}

Dick, Edward ^{[10
]}

Dorval, Emmanis ^{[12
]}

Dunham, Jason ^{[13
]}

Gertseva, Vladlena ^{[1
]}

Greene, Correigh M. M. ^{[1
]}

Gustafson, Richard G. G. ^{[1
]}

Hamel, Owen S. S. ^{[1
]}

Harvey, Chris J. J. ^{[1
]}

Henderson, Mark J. J. ^{[14
,15
]}

Jordan, Chris E. E. ^{[1
]}

Kaplan, Isaac C. C. ^{[1
]}

Lindley, Steven T. T. ^{[10
]}

Mantua, Nathan J. J. ^{[10
]}

Matson, Sean E. E. ^{[16
]}

Monk, Melissa H. H. ^{[10
]}

Moyle, Peter ^{[17
]}

Nicol, Colin ^{[18
,19
]}

Pohl, John ^{[1
]}

Rykaczewski, Ryan R. R. ^{[20
]}

Samhouri, Jameal F. F. ^{[1
]}

Sogard, Susan ^{[10
]}

Tolimieri, Nick ^{[1
]}

Wallace, John ^{[1
]}

Wetzel, Chantel ^{[1
]}

Bograd, Steven J. J. ^{[4
,11
]}

机构：

[1] NOAA, Northwest Fisheries Sci Ctr, Natl Marine Fisheries Serv NOAA NMFS, Seattle, WA 98112 USA

[2] NOAA, Pacific Marine Environm Lab, Seattle, WA 98112 USA

[3] Univ Calif Santa Cruz, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Santa Cruz, CA USA

[4] NOAA, Environm Res Div, Southwest Fisheries Sci Ctr, Natl Marine Fisheries Serv NOAA NMFS, Monterey, CA USA

[5] NOAA, Phys Sci Lab, Ocean & Atmospher Res NOAA OAR, Boulder, CO USA

[6] ECS Fed Inc contract Natl Ocean & Atmospher Adm, Natl Marine Fisheries Serv NOAA NMFS, Off Sci & Technol, Silver Spring, MD USA

[7] Univ Washington, Sch Aquat & Fishery Sci, Seattle, WA USA

[8] NOAA, Natl Marine Fisheries Serv NOAA NMFS, Northwest Fisheries Sci Ctr, Seattle, WA USA

[9] NOAA, Alaska Fisheries Sci Ctr, Natl Marine Fisheries Serv NOAA NMFS, Seattle, WA USA

[10] NOAA, Alaska Fisheries Sci Ctr, Natl Marine Fisheries Serv NOAA NMFS, Santa Cruz, CA USA

[11] Univ Calif UC, Inst Marine Sci, Santa Cruz, CA USA

[12] NOAA, Natl Marine Fisheries Serv NOAA NMFS, Southwest Fisheries Sci Ctr, La Jolla, CA USA

[13] US Geol Survey, Forest & Rangeland Ecosyst Sci Ctr, Corvallis, OR USA

[14] Calif State Polytech Univ Humboldt, Dept Fisheries Biol, Calif Cooperat Fish & Wildlife Res Unit, US Geol Survey, Arcata, CA USA

[15] Univ Vermont, Rubenstein Sch Environm & Nat Resources, Vermont Cooperat Fish & Wildlife Res Unit, US Geol Survey, Burlington, VT USA

[16] NOAA, Natl Marine Fisheries Serv NOAA NMFS West Coast R, Seattle, WA USA

[17] Univ Calif Davis, Ctr Watershed Sci, Davis, CA USA

[18] NOAA, Ocean Associates contract Northwest Fisheries Sci, Natl Marine Fisheries Serv, Seattle, WA USA

[19] PACE Engn, Seattle, WA USA

[20] NOAA, Pacific Isl Fisheries Sci Ctr, Natl Marine Fisheries Serv, Honolulu, HI USA

来源：

FRONTIERS IN MARINE SCIENCE | 2023年 / 10卷

关键词：

climate vulnerability assessment; marine fishes; fisheries management; climate change; exposure; sensitivity; trait-based vulnerability; California Current; SPECIES VULNERABILITY; FISHING COMMUNITIES; OXYGEN LEVELS; OCEAN; VARIABILITY; FISHERIES; PACIFIC; INTENSIFICATION; ADAPTATION; EASTERN;

D O I：

10.3389/fmars.2023.1103767

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

IntroductionUnderstanding how abundance, productivity and distribution of individual species may respond to climate change is a critical first step towards anticipating alterations in marine ecosystem structure and function, as well as developing strategies to adapt to the full range of potential changes. MethodsThis study applies the NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) Fisheries Climate Vulnerability Assessment method to 64 federally-managed species in the California Current Large Marine Ecosystem to assess their vulnerability to climate change, where vulnerability is a function of a species' exposure to environmental change and its biological sensitivity to a set of environmental conditions, which includes components of its resiliency and adaptive capacity to respond to these new conditions. ResultsOverall, two-thirds of the species were judged to have Moderate or greater vulnerability to climate change, and only one species was anticipated to have a positive response. Species classified as Highly or Very Highly vulnerable share one or more characteristics including: 1) having complex life histories that utilize a wide range of freshwater and marine habitats; 2) having habitat specialization, particularly for areas that are likely to experience increased hypoxia; 3) having long lifespans and low population growth rates; and/or 4) being of high commercial value combined with impacts from non-climate stressors such as anthropogenic habitat degradation. Species with Low or Moderate vulnerability are either habitat generalists, occupy deep-water habitats or are highly mobile and likely to shift their ranges. DiscussionAs climate-related changes intensify, this work provides key information for both scientists and managers as they address the long-term sustainability of fisheries in the region. This information can inform near-term advice for prioritizing species-level data collection and research on climate impacts, help managers to determine when and where a precautionary approach might be warranted, in harvest or other management decisions, and help identify habitats or life history stages that might be especially effective to protect or restore.

引用

页数：21

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