The effects of the Veterans Health Administration's Referral Coordination Initiative on referral patterns and waiting times for specialty care

ObjectiveTo investigate whether the Veterans Health Administration's (VA) 2019 Referral Coordination Initiative (RCI) was associated with changes in the proportion of VA specialty referrals completed by community-based care (CC) providers and mean appointment waiting times for VA and CC providers.Data Sources/Study SettingsMonthly facility level VA data for 3,097,366 specialty care referrals for eight high-volume specialties (cardiology, dermatology, gastroenterology, neurology, ophthalmology, orthopedics, physical therapy, and podiatry) from October 1, 2019 to May 30, 2022.Study DesignWe employed a staggered difference-in-differences approach to evaluate RCI's effects on referral patterns and wait times. Our unit of analysis was facility-month. We dichotomized facilities into high and low RCI use based on the proportion of total referrals for a specialty. We stratified our analysis by specialty and the staffing model that high RCI users adopted: centralized, decentralized, and hybrid.Data Collection/Extraction MethodsAdministrative data on referrals and waiting times were extracted from the VA's corporate data warehouse. Data on staffing models were provided by the VA's Office of Integrated Veteran Care.Principal FindingsWe did not reject the null hypotheses that high RCI use do not change CC referral rates or waiting times in any of the care settings for most specialties. For example, high RCI use for physical therapy-the highest volume specialty studied-was associated with -0.054 (95% confidence interval [CI]: -0.114 to 0.006) and 2.0 days (95% CI: -4.8 to 8.8) change in CC referral rate and waiting time at CC providers, respectively, among centralized staffing model adopters.ConclusionsIn the initial years of the RCI program, RCI does not have a measurable effect on waiting times or CC referral rates. Our findings do not support concerns that RCI might be impeding Veterans' access to CC providers. Future evaluations should examine whether RCI facilitates Veterans' ability to receive care in their preferred setting.